Friday, May 20, 2011

Post Fast Friday Indianapolis 500 Grid Prediction

Here is my Post Fast Friday Indianapolis 500 Grid Prediction.  I will start with the heart brake of who doesn’t make it.  The easy ones are the #57 (which will never make an attempt even if it does some practice laps on Sunday.)  The #20 (was going to be hard to make it anyway but now with this extra drama that is going to be even harder.)  The #18 (Jakes just does not seem to have the speed so I am saying go ahead and write him off.)  Finally I hate to say it but I am calling the #78 an easy call to not make it (unable to make even an install lap today with the back up car I think they just have too much work and too little time to put a fast enough qual run in *very sad face*).  The others DNQ’s are much harder to pin down but here is what I came up with:

Position Car # Driver Team
DNQ 57   Sarah Fisher
DNQ 20 Scott Speed - R Dragon
DNQ 18 James Jakes - R Dale Coyne
DNQ 78 Simona de Silvestro HVM
DNQ 8 Ho-Pin Tung - R Dragon
DNQ 43 John Andretti Andretti / Petty
DNQ 88 Jay Howard - R Rahal-Letterman/Sam Schmidt
DNQ 41 Bruno Junqueira Foyt
33             34 Sebastian Saavedra - R Conquest
32             27 Mike Conway Andretti Autosport
31             11 Davey Hamilton Dreyer & Reinbold/Kingdom
30             36 Pippa Mann - R Conquest
29             28 Ryan Hunter-Reay Andretti Autosport
28             17 Raphael Matos AFS
27             59 E.J. Viso KV Racing Technology
26             19 Alex Lloyd Dale Coyne
25             24 Ana Beatriz - R Dreyer & Reinbold
24             23 Paul Tracy Dreyer & Reinbold
23             83 Charlie Kimball - R Chip Ganassi
22             07 Tomas Scheckter KVRT/SH Redline
21             5 Takuma Sato KV Racing Technology
20             82 Tony Kanaan KV Racing Technology
19             98 Dan Wheldon - W Bryan Herta Autosport
18             22 Justin Wilson Dreyer & Reinbold
17             44 Buddy Rice - W Panther
16             38 Graham Rahal Chip Ganassi
15             06 James Hinchcliffe - R Newman-Haas
14             7 Danica Patrick Andretti Autosport
13             26 Marco Andretti Andretti Autosport
12             14 Vitor Meria Foyt
11             30 Bertrand Baguette Rahal-Letterman
10             99 Townsend Bell Sam Schmidt
9               4 J.R. Hildebrand - R Panther
8               67 Ed Carpenter Sarah Fisher
7               77 Alex Tagliani Sam Schmidt
6               10 Dario Franchitti - W Target Chip Ganassi
5               6 Ryan Briscoe Team Penske
4               2 Oriol Servia Newman-Haas
3               12 Will Power Team Penske
2               9 Scott Dixon - W Target Chip Ganassi
1               3 Helio Castroneves - W Team Penske       

If you remember last year Helio put up a time in his first Fast 9 qualifying attempt that nobody could touch even in practice with a tow!  So I see no reason not to go with him again for P1.  Predicting speed however is going to be harder as it is more of a weather forecast then anything else.  My weather forecast this morning (I have not seen any newer data) was for higher winds (with incoming storms) around happy hour.  So While I think will see at lease a mid 227 before 4 o’clock after the times reset for the fast 9 pole speed will drop to a 227.059

Monday, May 9, 2011

Pre-Practice Indianapolis 500 Grid Prediction

Here it is I have made my Pre-Practice grid prediction for the “2011 Indianapolis 500 Mile Race”.  This what quite challenging as there hasn’t been a single car on any oval nor less IMS but that kind of makes it fun too.  I will make a 2nd grid prediction after Fast Friday which I am sure would be much more accurate and will include a pole speed.  You are welcome to join me in making your prediction but there will be two pools to get in the pre-practice pool you have to summit your grid before opening day.

P Car # Driver Hometown Car Name Entrant
Row 1      
1 3 Helio Castroneves (W) Sao Paulo Shell V-Power/Pennzoil Ultra Team Penske Team Penske
2 6 Ryan Briscoe Sydney IZOD Team Penske Team Penske
3 9 Scott Dixon (W) Auckland, New Zealand Target Chip Ganassi Racing Target Chip Ganassi Racing
Row 2      
4 10 Dario Franchitti (W) Edinburgh, Scotland Target Chip Ganassi Racing Target Chip Ganassi Racing
5 0.6 James Hinchcliffe (R) Toronto Sprott Newman/Haas Racing Newman/Haas Racing
6 12 Will Power Toowoomba, Australia Verizon Team Penske Team Penske
Row 3      
7 82 Tony Kanaan Salvador, Brazil GEICO – KV Racing Technology – Lotus KV Racing Technology - Lotus
8 26 Marco Andretti Nazareth, Pa. Team Venom Andretti Autosport
9 67 Ed Carpenter Indianapolis Dollar General/Sarah Fisher Racing Sarah Fisher Racing
Row 4      
10 2 Oriol Servia Pals, Spain Telemundo Newman/Haas Racing Newman/Haas Racing
11 28 Ryan Hunter-Reay Boca Raton, Fla. Team DHL/Sun Drop Citrus Soda Andretti Autosport
12 4 JR Hildebrand (R) Sausalito, Calif. National Guard Panther Racing Panther Racing
Row 5      
13 7 Danica Patrick Roscoe, Ill. Team GoDaddy Andretti Autosport
14 38 Graham Rahal New Albany, Ohio Service Central Service Central Chip Ganassi Racing
15 27 Mike Conway Bromley, England Team GoDaddy.com Andretti Autosport
Row 6      
16 77 Alex Tagliani Lachenaie, Quebec Bowers & Wilkins/Sam Schmidt Motorsports Sam Schmidt Motorsports
17 78 Simona De Silvestro Thun, Switzerland Nuclear Clean Air Energy HVM Racing Nuclear Clean Air Energy HVM Racing
18 59 E.J. Viso Caracas, Venezuela PDVSA – KV Racing Technology- Lotus KV Racing Technology – Lotus
Row 7      
19 44 Buddy Rice (W) Phoenix, Arizona Panther Racing Panther Racing
20 99 Townsend Bell San Luis Obispo, Calif. Herbalife Sam Schmidt Motorsports Sam Schmidt Motorsports
21 0.7 Tomas Scheckter Cape Town, South Africa Team REDLINE Xtreme – Circle K KV Racing Technology – SH Racing
Row 8      
22 5 Takuma Sato Tokyo KV Racing Technology - Lotus KV Racing Technology - Lotus
23 36 Pippa Mann (R) England Conquest Racing Conquest Racing
24 83 Charlie Kimball (R) Camarillo, Calif. Levemir and NovoLog FlexPen Novo Nordisk Chip Ganassi Racing
Row 9      
25 23 Paul Tracy Scarborough, Ontario WIX Filters/Dreyer & Reinbold Racing Dreyer & Reinbold Racing
26 22 Justin Wilson Sheffield, England Z-Line Designs/Dreyer & Reinbold Racing Dreyer & Reinbold Racing
27 24 Ana Beatriz Sao Paulo Team Ipiranga/Dreyer & Reinbold Racing Dreyer & Reinbold Racing
Row 10      
28 17 Raphael Matos Belo Horizonte, Brazil Automatic Fire Sprinklers, Inc. AFS Racing
29 19 TBA TBA Boy Scouts of America Dale Coyne Racing
30 14 Vitor Meira Brasilia, Brazil ABC Supply Co A.J. Foyt Racing A.J. Foyt Enterprises
Row 11      
31 11 Davey Hamilton Nampa, Idaho HP/Dreyer & Reinbold Racing Dreyer & Reinbold Racing
32 98 Dan Wheldon (W) Emberton, England Bryan Herta Autosport Bryan Herta Autosport
33 34 Sebastian Saavedra Bogotá, Colombia Conquest Racing Conquest Racing
           
Did Not Qualify      
  18 James Jakes (R) Leeds, England Acorn Stairlifts Dale Coyne Racing
  43 John Andretti Indianapolis Team Window World Richard Petty/ Andretti Autosport
  30 Bertrand Baguette Verviers, Belgium Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing
  8 Ho-Pin Tung China Dragon Racing Dragon Racing
  TBA Bruno Junqueira Belo Horizonte, Brazil A.J. Foyt Racing A.J. Foyt Enterprises
  88 Jay Howard (R) Basildon, England Service Central Schmidt-RLL Racing Sam Schmidt – RLL Racing
  16 TBA TBA TBA TBA
  57 TBA TBA Sarah Fisher Racing Sarah Fisher Racing
  89 TBA TBA China Racing China Racing

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Itaipava Sao Paulo Indy 300 presented by Nestle Review and Reaction


My main concern going into the Sao Paulo race was the track surface.  Not knowing that they have already done exactly what I wish they would do.  Which is repaving the track with FIA approved pavement and they repaved it with the same formula of pavement that surfaces the Interlagos Circuit (The Formula One track in Brazil); which makes me love this circuit even more.  There were still reports of bumps but they were inconsistent some drivers saying that it was still very bumpy and Will Power saying it is the smoothest street circuit they go to all year.  The answer I do not know I was not there but there was a huge noticeable bump right in the middle of the braking zone for turn one that needs to be fixed for next year.  Other then that, it is the perfect circuit!  If we could just catch a dry weekend, we would see just how great this circuit is.

As for my predictions Power got the pole but that is as good as I got as Helio was stuffed in the wall and James was stuck on the outside of a spinning car.  The story of the race other then the rain I would say is Sato.  Yeah he ended up eighth but had a much better race then that, whoever made the call to stay out under the yellow better hope he has good job security.  As that was just a really bad call!  I predicted Vitor to be the story but he had a brake line failure so he was unable to back up his podium from last year.  The “Legend in His Own Mind” award I picked EJ oh how wrong I was on that one as he a great race, until he was called for blocking (which by the IndyCar rules he with out question did.)  I will go on record as saying I hate that rule but that is the rule.  He went off the prefer line to prevent from being passed.  I think as the car in front he has earned the right to choose his line and as long as he stay in that line then he is not blocking but if you want to play in IndyCar you have to play by IndyCar rules which says you have to stay in the preferred line.

Over all I would say this weekend was a disappointment.  There is no blame to pass out as it was the weathers fault but as weather is a part of road / street racing lets look to see if there is any room for improvement.  I say yes, there is.  First and I said this on Saturday, painting the run-off areas looks cool but a run off area is there to help run-a-way cars stop and in the wet (when you are likely to have more need of such areas) paint is as bad a ice.  There are ways around this, see the Singapore F1 circuit, but it is just easier not to paint the whole thing.  Have nice defined lines but then let the cars brake on a surface that well help the car stop.  Somewhere else where IndyCar could use some improvement is on the rain tires.  If you really look at these tires you would see that they are not even as good as the Formula 1 intermediate tyre.  If you want to keep the current tire in IndyCar then fine but call that an intermediate rain tire (which IndyCar currently doesn’t have) and then make a real rain tire which would allow them to run in real rain!  I know IndyCar has no control over the weather but I believe IndyCar has a duty to the fans to be as best prepared as possible and limiting the painted areas around a track as much as possible and having a better rain tire would be a huge step in the right direction.