Friday, May 20, 2011

Post Fast Friday Indianapolis 500 Grid Prediction

Here is my Post Fast Friday Indianapolis 500 Grid Prediction.  I will start with the heart brake of who doesn’t make it.  The easy ones are the #57 (which will never make an attempt even if it does some practice laps on Sunday.)  The #20 (was going to be hard to make it anyway but now with this extra drama that is going to be even harder.)  The #18 (Jakes just does not seem to have the speed so I am saying go ahead and write him off.)  Finally I hate to say it but I am calling the #78 an easy call to not make it (unable to make even an install lap today with the back up car I think they just have too much work and too little time to put a fast enough qual run in *very sad face*).  The others DNQ’s are much harder to pin down but here is what I came up with:

Position Car # Driver Team
DNQ 57   Sarah Fisher
DNQ 20 Scott Speed - R Dragon
DNQ 18 James Jakes - R Dale Coyne
DNQ 78 Simona de Silvestro HVM
DNQ 8 Ho-Pin Tung - R Dragon
DNQ 43 John Andretti Andretti / Petty
DNQ 88 Jay Howard - R Rahal-Letterman/Sam Schmidt
DNQ 41 Bruno Junqueira Foyt
33             34 Sebastian Saavedra - R Conquest
32             27 Mike Conway Andretti Autosport
31             11 Davey Hamilton Dreyer & Reinbold/Kingdom
30             36 Pippa Mann - R Conquest
29             28 Ryan Hunter-Reay Andretti Autosport
28             17 Raphael Matos AFS
27             59 E.J. Viso KV Racing Technology
26             19 Alex Lloyd Dale Coyne
25             24 Ana Beatriz - R Dreyer & Reinbold
24             23 Paul Tracy Dreyer & Reinbold
23             83 Charlie Kimball - R Chip Ganassi
22             07 Tomas Scheckter KVRT/SH Redline
21             5 Takuma Sato KV Racing Technology
20             82 Tony Kanaan KV Racing Technology
19             98 Dan Wheldon - W Bryan Herta Autosport
18             22 Justin Wilson Dreyer & Reinbold
17             44 Buddy Rice - W Panther
16             38 Graham Rahal Chip Ganassi
15             06 James Hinchcliffe - R Newman-Haas
14             7 Danica Patrick Andretti Autosport
13             26 Marco Andretti Andretti Autosport
12             14 Vitor Meria Foyt
11             30 Bertrand Baguette Rahal-Letterman
10             99 Townsend Bell Sam Schmidt
9               4 J.R. Hildebrand - R Panther
8               67 Ed Carpenter Sarah Fisher
7               77 Alex Tagliani Sam Schmidt
6               10 Dario Franchitti - W Target Chip Ganassi
5               6 Ryan Briscoe Team Penske
4               2 Oriol Servia Newman-Haas
3               12 Will Power Team Penske
2               9 Scott Dixon - W Target Chip Ganassi
1               3 Helio Castroneves - W Team Penske       

If you remember last year Helio put up a time in his first Fast 9 qualifying attempt that nobody could touch even in practice with a tow!  So I see no reason not to go with him again for P1.  Predicting speed however is going to be harder as it is more of a weather forecast then anything else.  My weather forecast this morning (I have not seen any newer data) was for higher winds (with incoming storms) around happy hour.  So While I think will see at lease a mid 227 before 4 o’clock after the times reset for the fast 9 pole speed will drop to a 227.059

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